CSE vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MUR
2 - 2
CSE
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CSE
1 - 0
JAC
47%
24%
30%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CEO
2 - 0
CSE
31%
26%
42%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
1 - 1
CSE
80%
15%
5%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CSE
1 - 1
CRB
8%
18%
74%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
ASA
2 - 0
CSA
15%
23%
62%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ASA
0 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
ASA
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CRB
4 - 0
ASA
78%
16%
6%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ASA
2 - 1
CEO
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |