12 de Octubre vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
4 - 0
12O
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
JLM
0 - 0
12O
52%
27%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
12O
0 - 0
OLI
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
12O
1 - 1
RES
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CCP
2 - 0
12O
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
TAC
3 - 1
RES
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 0
CCP
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
TAC
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 1
GUA
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
TAC
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |