12 de Octubre vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
12O
60%
25%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
12O
1 - 0
2DE
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
70%
20%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
12O
1 - 1
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 0
12O
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TAC
3 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
TAC
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 2
RÑU
42%
30%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 2
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
2DE
5 - 0
TAC
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |