12 de Octubre vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
12O
78%
16%
6%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
AME
0 - 1
12O
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 1
12O
55%
24%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
12O
0 - 2
GUA
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
12O
3 - 2
LQE
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
GUA
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
CCP
4 - 1
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 2
LIB
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 1
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
GUA
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |