12 de Octubre vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
12O
1 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
12O
1 - 2
RÑU
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
12O
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
12O
2 - 3
TAC
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
12O
60%
25%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 1
RÑU
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LQE
0 - 4
AME
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 1
LQE
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
LQE
0 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CCP
0 - 2
LQE
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +2 |