12 de Octubre vs Sportivo Ameliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 1
12O
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
12O
1 - 6
LIB
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
12O
1 - 0
AME
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 0
12O
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
12O
0 - 0
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AME
1 - 4
RES
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
CCP
3 - 2
AME
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LQE
1 - 1
AME
56%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
AME
3 - 2
LQE
38%
29%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
AME
3 - 0
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |