12 de Octubre vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
12O
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
12O
2 - 3
TAC
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
12O
60%
25%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
12O
1 - 0
2DE
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
70%
20%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RÑU
2 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
RÑU
1 - 2
AME
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
2DE
0 - 1
RÑU
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
RÑU
1 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 2
RÑU
42%
30%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |