12 de Octubre vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
LIB
3 - 3
12O
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
12O
0 - 1
LQE
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 1
12O
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
12O
1 - 3
OLI
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
12O
2 - 2
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
CCM
0 - 2
RPA
3%
8%
89%
|
70 | 7 | 63 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RPA
1 - 0
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
AME
1 - 0
RPA
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 0
CCP
30%
27%
44%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
RPA
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |