12 de Octubre vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
12O
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
12O
0 - 3
OLI
7%
16%
77%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
12O
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
12O
80%
15%
6%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
12O
1 - 0
SPO
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 0
GUA
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 0
RPA
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 2
LIB
17%
23%
61%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 1
RPA
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
RPA
2 - 1
GUA
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |