12 de Octubre vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
52.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
12O
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
RÑU
3 - 1
12O
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
12O
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
12O
0 - 2
CCP
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 1
OLI
31%
26%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 2
GUA
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 2
OLI
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 0
DEP
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |