12 de Octubre vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
4 - 0
12O
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
12O
1 - 4
CCP
14%
21%
65%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
12O
1 - 3
GUA
15%
23%
62%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
12O
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
12O
0 - 3
LIB
14%
22%
64%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 2
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |