12 de Octubre vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
12O
0 - 2
CCP
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AME
2 - 3
12O
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 1
12O
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
12O
3 - 2
GEN
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
GEN
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
SLO
1 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |