12 de Octubre vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
CCP
4 - 2
12O
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
12O
2 - 4
AME
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
66%
22%
13%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
12O
0 - 1
LQE
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
12O
2 - 3
DEP
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 1
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
LIB
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 3
LIB
33%
26%
40%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 1
DEP
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |