12 de Octubre vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
LQE
3 - 1
12O
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
12O
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
12O
0 - 1
CCP
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
RÑU
2 - 3
12O
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
12O
2 - 4
AME
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 0
RÑU
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
AME
1 - 3
LIB
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 0
TAC
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
CCP
0 - 3
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 0
RÑU
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |