12 de Octubre vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
12O
1 - 4
AME
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
TAC
1 - 1
12O
50%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
SPO
2 - 0
12O
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CCP
5 - 0
12O
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
12O
1 - 4
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 4
LQE
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
CCP
2 - 2
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
GUA
3 - 3
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
AME
3 - 0
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
GUA
4 - 2
SPC
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |