12 de Octubre vs Guaireña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 2
12O
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
12O
0 - 1
LIB
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LQE
0 - 0
12O
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
12O
1 - 2
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
LQE
2 - 1
12O
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
AME
3 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |