12 de Octubre vs Guaireña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 0
12O
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
12O
1 - 0
GUA
20%
25%
56%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
LQE
2 - 3
12O
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 1
12O
84%
12%
4%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
12O
0 - 1
SPO
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
GEN
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 2
GUA
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
CCP
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |