12 de Octubre vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
55.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
12O
1 - 1
SPO
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2002 |
12O
1 - 0
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
REC
1 - 2
12O
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
12O
1 - 0
SPC
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
12O
3 - 2
OPE
52%
23%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
GRE
3 - 2
OPE
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
GRE
2 - 0
CIE
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2002 |
OPE
2 - 4
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2001 |
ATM
3 - 0
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
GRE
3 - 1
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |