12 de Octubre vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
LIB
1 - 0
12O
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2002 |
12O
1 - 0
GRE
21%
23%
56%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
12O
1 - 1
SPO
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2002 |
12O
1 - 0
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
REC
1 - 2
12O
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
GRE
2 - 0
CIE
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
OPE
3 - 1
CIE
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2002 |
CIE
3 - 0
12O
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |