12 de Octubre vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
12O
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
12O
0 - 4
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
12O
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
12O
1 - 2
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
AME
2 - 2
12O
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
CCP
1 - 0
RES
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
CCP
0 - 1
OLI
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 4
CCP
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
CCP
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
CCP
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |