12 de Octubre vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
12O
1 - 3
GUA
15%
23%
62%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
12O
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
12O
0 - 3
LIB
14%
22%
64%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
12O
3 - 1
RIC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
2DE
3 - 1
12O
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 1
CCP
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CCP
4 - 1
AME
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CCP
2 - 1
LQE
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CCP
2 - 4
GEN
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -2 |