12 de Octubre vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
52.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
IND
1 - 3
12O
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
12O
0 - 0
SPT
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
12O
3 - 1
RPA
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
12O
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
12O
0 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
CCP
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
CCP
4 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
CCP
35%
26%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
CCP
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |