12 de Octubre vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
TAC
1 - 1
12O
50%
24%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
SPO
2 - 0
12O
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CCP
5 - 0
12O
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
12O
1 - 4
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
12O
1 - 1
LQE
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
COR
0 - 0
AME
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
AME
3 - 2
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
HUI
1 - 1
AME
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
AME
1 - 1
CEN
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
66%
22%
13%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |