12 de Octubre vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 0
12O
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
GUA
16%
23%
62%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
12O
0 - 2
DEP
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 2
12O
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
LQE
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
GEN
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
RÑU
34%
26%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
LQE
3 - 2
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
GUA
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |