12 de Octubre vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 0
12O
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CCP
4 - 1
12O
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 2
12O
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
12O
0 - 3
RÑU
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 2
12O
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
CCP
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 2
SAN
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RÑU
5 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
LQE
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |