Club Universitario vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
STR
1 - 1
UNI
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 1
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
DRT
37%
22%
41%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
RPO
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 2
CMV
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
OPE
2 - 0
AUR
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 0
GUA
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AUR
3 - 4
REA
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CMV
3 - 2
AUR
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |