Club Universitario vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
PET
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
STR
1 - 4
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
LAP
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
BLO
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
JWI
1 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 2
STR
37%
26%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
STR
1 - 2
AUR
72%
16%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 0
OPE
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
BOL
4 - 2
AUR
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 1
PET
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |