Club Universitario vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BLO
1 - 0
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
STR
2 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 2
STR
45%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
BOL
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
STR
3 - 1
AUR
65%
20%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
RPO
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
REA
3 - 0
AUR
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AUR
0 - 1
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
OPE
2 - 0
AUR
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |