Club Universitario vs CD Amanecer Vinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+361%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DET
0 - 8
UNI
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 3
LIB
81%
13%
7%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LIB
3 - 0
UNI
5%
10%
85%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 2
UNI
67%
19%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
AUR
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Amanecer Vinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
4 - 1
CIC
18%
23%
60%
|
7 | 65 | 58 | 0 |