Club Universitario vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
PET
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
CIC
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
UNI
9 - 1
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SAN
6 - 0
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
JWI
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 0
DEF
40%
23%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 3
SBW
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
3 - 0
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 0
BOL
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PET
1 - 1
BOL
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |