Club Universitario vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
STR
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
RPO
2 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
UNI
5 - 1
LAP
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
OPE
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 1
LAP
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
BOL
4 - 0
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 1
OPE
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOL
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
BOL
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |