Torneo Regional Federal Amateur Last 16
Global 1-1
Deportiva Catriel vs Dep. Roca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportiva Catriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
DRO
1 - 1
CAT
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
CAT
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAT
2 - 0
CDS
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CAT
2 - 0
AMI
19%
20%
62%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +5 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
API
1 - 0
CAT
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
DRO
1 - 1
CAT
69%
17%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
AMI
0 - 2
DRO
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 0
AMI
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
DRO
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
DRO
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |