Maristas vs FC San Marcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maristas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CCP
0 - 1
CSM
12%
15%
73%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CSM
1 - 2
CDH
76%
16%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CDH
3 - 1
CSM
12%
15%
73%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 1
CCP
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
CSM
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
5 - 0
AUC
53%
21%
27%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAF
3 - 2
FSM
24%
24%
52%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 0
SAF
45%
22%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 1
FSM
28%
21%
51%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
CSM
10%
14%
76%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +1 |