Maristas vs Calidad Porteña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maristas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
CSM
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
CSC
5 - 0
CSM
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
ADT
2 - 1
CSM
87%
11%
3%
|
18 | 66 | 48 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ALF
2 - 2
CSM
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 59 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
UDP
1 - 2
CSM
49%
22%
30%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calidad Porteña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 1
CLF
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |