Mercedes vs Sportivo Barracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
3º
9º
8º
16
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercedes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
JUU
2 - 1
MER
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
CAM
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
MER
47%
24%
30%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
CBA
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CES
1 - 1
MER
46%
24%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SBA
1 - 0
DPA
72%
18%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
SBA
17%
23%
60%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SBA
3 - 2
JUU
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 2
SBA
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SBA
1 - 0
ARR
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |