Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-1
Marino de Luanco vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
MAR
2 - 1
ALA
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ATH
1 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
17%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
CFP
0 - 2
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
MAR
2 - 0
ZAM
25%
28%
47%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
NAI
1 - 0
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CFP
2 - 0
SDA
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
TOR
0 - 3
CFP
24%
25%
50%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
CFP
0 - 2
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CFP
5 - 0
CDL
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
STM
0 - 0
CFP
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |