Marino de Luanco vs Gimnástica Torrelavega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
13º
9º
14
14º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 76 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 53 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 52 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 51 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 45 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 37 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 36 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
17º
|
37.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 25 |
18º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LAR
3 - 1
MAR
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 0
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
UDL
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
COX
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnástica Torrelavega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GIM
0 - 1
UPL
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 1
DEP
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PON
2 - 1
GIM
79%
15%
7%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 0
COM
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 3
GIM
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |