Marino de Luanco vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UPL
2 - 0
MAR
64%
23%
14%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
TIN
73%
18%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PRA
0 - 3
MAR
17%
24%
59%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
LLA
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
URR
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
COV
3 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 5
UPL
13%
22%
65%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
TIN
55%
24%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |