Marino de Luanco vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
OVI
0 - 1
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
BUR
37%
30%
33%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CUL
1 - 1
MAR
60%
22%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 0
SLA
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ZAL
0 - 0
MAR
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ATH
2 - 2
CFP
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
RAC
1 - 0
ATH
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
PON
3 - 1
ATH
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ATH
1 - 3
ZAM
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ATH
0 - 1
RUN
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |