IDUNSA vs Univ. San Marcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IDUNSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MUN
3 - 1
IDU
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
IDU
1 - 0
LOS
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
IAS
0 - 0
IDU
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
IDU
0 - 1
COB
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 3
IDU
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SMA
4 - 3
AGU
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 2
MUN
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LOS
2 - 3
SMA
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SMA
0 - 0
IAS
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
COB
3 - 0
SMA
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |