Club Fortuna vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
71.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 4
AGU
17%
23%
61%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CIE
4 - 1
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
PIN
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
IMP
1 - 1
PLU
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
JUM
1 - 2
IMP
17%
24%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
IMP
0 - 1
MIN
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
YEC
0 - 2
IMP
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
IMP
4 - 1
CEU
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |