Atlètic Lleida vs L'Escala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
65.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+396%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
16º
6º
24
3º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 54 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 43 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 41 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 28 |
18º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlètic Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 0
CEA
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CEA
0 - 1
TON
13%
16%
70%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
CEA
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CEA
0 - 2
CFR
16%
19%
66%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 1
CEA
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
L'Escala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LES
2 - 0
PER
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MOL
2 - 1
LES
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LES
1 - 1
HOS
28%
24%
49%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
LES
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SCR
2 - 1
LES
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |