Atlètic Lleida vs FE Grama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+397%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
16º
6º
31
5º
18º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 54 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 43 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 41 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 28 |
18º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlètic Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CEA
0 - 1
GIM
8%
18%
74%
|
15 | 67 | 52 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 2
CEA
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CEA
0 - 1
ALP
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TPE
3 - 1
CEA
27%
22%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
RUB
2 - 1
CEA
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FE Grama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TER
2 - 1
GRA
74%
16%
9%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SCR
3 - 0
GRA
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 2
COR
13%
20%
67%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
EUR
4 - 1
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
GRA
27%
24%
48%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |