Trasandino Socoroma vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
76.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
CSD
4 - 2
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
DER
1 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
USF
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |