Segarra vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Segarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
BEL
1 - 1
CDS
18%
20%
62%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
CDS
1 - 1
ATZ
77%
13%
10%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
AZA
1 - 2
CDS
55%
19%
26%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
CDS
2 - 2
SDS
87%
8%
5%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
SAG
1 - 2
CDS
24%
22%
55%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
SAG
1 - 1
TAU
68%
17%
16%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
HUE
3 - 0
SAG
79%
12%
9%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
UBC
3 - 1
SAG
77%
13%
10%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
SAG
5 - 0
BEL
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
SAG
3 - 0
ACE
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |