Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 0-3
Logroño vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
43.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logroño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
VAD
3 - 1
LOG
66%
18%
16%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
LOG
3 - 2
AVI
73%
15%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
BAR
3 - 0
LOG
55%
21%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
LOG
5 - 3
NAM
67%
17%
16%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
LOG
2 - 2
VAD
51%
22%
28%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
DEP
2 - 1
MUR
52%
20%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
MUR
6 - 1
OSA
58%
19%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
MUR
6 - 0
ALA
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1934 |
SAB
3 - 0
MUR
44%
23%
34%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
MUR
3 - 0
SPO
58%
19%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |