Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 3-12
Logroño vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
55.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logroño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1931 |
LOG
3 - 0
CAS
50%
22%
28%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
CAS
2 - 0
LOG
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1931 |
LOG
4 - 0
VAD
44%
23%
34%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
VAD
0 - 0
LOG
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
LEO
1 - 8
LOG
55%
21%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1931 |
ATH
4 - 0
RUN
81%
11%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
RUN
2 - 2
ATH
38%
22%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1931 |
SAB
3 - 1
ATH
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
ATH
4 - 0
SAB
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
ATH
1 - 2
RUN
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |