Deportivo Garcilaso vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
13º
12º
9
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 34 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 32 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 30 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 29 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 26 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 25 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 25 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 25 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 23 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 21 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 20 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 19 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 18 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 17 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 16 |
17º
|
19.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Garcilaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
CDG
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 3
MEL
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 2
CDG
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
CUI
1 - 1
CDG
91%
7%
2%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 0
AGP
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 1
UTC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
UTC
2 - 4
SBO
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UTC
2 - 6
MEL
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
UTC
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UTC
3 - 2
AGP
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |