Condal CD vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1956 |
CDC
1 - 1
CDT
63%
19%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
MAL
1 - 2
CDC
74%
16%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1956 |
CDC
1 - 3
UDE
62%
19%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
GRA
1 - 1
CDC
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
CDC
4 - 0
EXT
68%
18%
15%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
PUL
1 - 3
MAL
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
UDE
3 - 1
PUL
73%
15%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
PUL
1 - 5
GRA
62%
20%
19%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
EXT
3 - 0
PUL
77%
13%
10%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
PUL
2 - 2
CAS
64%
18%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |