Castellón vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1930 |
ISC
0 - 0
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 2
BET
56%
21%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
MUR
1 - 2
CAS
67%
17%
15%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
CAS
0 - 2
RUN
35%
23%
43%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
RUN
0 - 1
CAS
81%
11%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1930 |
VCF
3 - 0
DEP
73%
15%
12%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
ATM
3 - 0
VCF
59%
19%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
VCF
2 - 1
SEV
54%
20%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1930 |
RMA
0 - 2
VCF
79%
12%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
VCF
2 - 5
RMA
32%
23%
45%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |